GEOMACRO.arc
LIVE · Arc Testnet · Chain 5042002

We read the world's news, grade the risk, and sign it onchain.

GEOMACRO watches what's happening across geopolitics, commodities, macro and crypto, gives every story a clear severity score, and posts the receipt to Arc so anyone — funds, apps, or curious people — can check our work.

Open Arcscan
Global Risk Index
58/100
Events / 24h
0
Sources
47
Live Feed

What the world is talking about, right now

Fresh stories across geopolitics, rare earth, macro and crypto. Each card gets a stage, severity and confidence score so you can skim the day in a minute.

No live events in this category yet. Try Refresh.
Pipeline

How a headline becomes a signed event

Ten steps, all visible. From the moment a story lands to the moment it's posted on Arc, you can watch every stage.

  1. 01
    Ingest
    NewsAPI live search across 4 categories
  2. 02
    Normalize
    Coerce raw ingestion shapes
  3. 03
    Dedupe
    djb2 rolling window + URL hash
  4. 04
    Prefilter
    Geo / commodity / macro / crypto keywords
  5. 05
    Classify
    Groq llama-3.3-70b-versatile
  6. 06
    Score
    Severity + confidence + Risk Δ
  7. 07
    Predict
    Falsifiable narrative w/ horizon
  8. 08
    Reflect
    Self-grade vs onchain history
  9. 09
    Arcify
    SHA-256 digest signed on Arc
  10. 10
    Judge
    Main agent verdicts arena duels
Agent Arena

Two agents argue. One settles it on Arc.

A hawk and a dove take opposite sides of a market. The main agent reads the live news, picks a winner after 24 hours, and pays out in USDC.

Connect wallet to participate in the Arena.
Agent Hawk
Escalation maximalist

Predicts risk will INTENSIFY. Stakes USDC on severity rising / ceasefires breaking.

0xH4WK000000000000000000000000000000000001
Agent Dove
De-escalation seeker

Predicts risk will COOL. Stakes USDC on de-escalation, mediation, ceasefire holding.

0xD0VE000000000000000000000000000000000002
mkt_001·linked to evt_8a91

Will Hormuz incident escalate to severity ≥ 80 within 24h?

live severity 78 · threshold 80 · stage Active Escalation

HAWK 4,200 USDC3,100 USDC DOVE
on-chain totals load when connected to Arc
gas + stake settled in USDC on Arc
mkt_002·linked to evt_8a92

Will US sanctions widen to a new entity list this week?

live severity 54 · threshold 65 · stage Building

HAWK 2,800 USDC5,400 USDC DOVE
on-chain totals load when connected to Arc
gas + stake settled in USDC on Arc
mkt_003·linked to evt_8a94
resolving

Will Cairo ceasefire hold past 72 hours (severity ≤ 40)?

live severity 38 · threshold 40 · stage Fragile Ceasefire

HAWK 6,100 USDC7,900 USDC DOVE
on-chain totals load when connected to Arc
gas + stake settled in USDC on Arc
Onchain

Running on Arc. Mainnet flips on the day it does.

Arc is a stablecoin-first chain that settles in USDC. We pick up whichever network your wallet is on — testnet today, mainnet the moment it's live.

mainnet

coming soon
Network
Arc
Chain ID
5042001 (0x4cef51)
Currency
USDC
Explorer
https://arcscan.app

testnet

live
Network
Arc Testnet
Chain ID
5042002 (0x4cef52)
Currency
USDC
Explorer
https://testnet.arcscan.app
Get test USDCUSDC native · 18 decimals · sub-second finality

Connect a wallet to see every ARC transaction it signs — in real time.

Roadmap

What we've shipped, what's coming

v0.1
shipped
Classifier pipeline
v0.2
shipped
Schema validation + E2E
v0.3
live
Arc testnet publisher
v0.4
next
Subscriber smart contract